Pepe Coin Price at Tipping Point: 40% Rally or 50% Crash? $1.6B Volume Hints at Imminent Move

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Pepe Coin (PEPE) has surged 1.7% in the past hour to $0.0000127, with trading volume spiking to $1.6 billion—the highest level since May 2024. A bullish falling wedge pattern is forming, suggesting a potential 40% rally toward $0.0000181. At the same time, whale activity and technical indicators like the MACD are flashing buy signals, fueling speculation of an imminent breakout. But with high volatility comes risk: a breakdown below key support could trigger a steep 50% drop. Here’s a deep dive into what’s driving PEPE’s price action and what traders should watch next.

Bullish Falling Wedge Signals Potential 40% Rally

Since peaking at $0.0000163 on May 23, Pepe Coin has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows—culminating in a classic falling wedge pattern. This technical formation is widely recognized as a bullish reversal signal, especially when accompanied by declining volume during consolidation and a subsequent surge on breakout.

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Currently, PEPE is testing the upper boundary of this wedge. A decisive daily candlestick close above $0.0000108—a key resistance level—would confirm the breakout. Once confirmed, the projected upside target is calculated by measuring the height of the wedge and adding it to the breakout point, leading to a **potential price target of $0.0000181**—a nearly 40% increase from current levels.

This bullish outlook gains further credibility from momentum indicators. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) on the daily chart has generated a bullish crossover above both the signal line and zero line, signaling strengthening upward momentum. Historically, such crossovers have preceded significant rallies in meme coins during high-sentiment periods.

Additionally, PEPE recently closed above its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA)—a major milestone that often marks a shift from bearish to bullish market structure. If the current pullback holds above this level, it could lay the foundation for a sustained uptrend.

However, failure to maintain support at $0.0000106—the lower trendline of the wedge—would invalidate the pattern and open the door to further downside. In such a scenario, a steep correction of up to 50% cannot be ruled out, particularly if large holders begin offloading their positions.

Surging Trading Volumes Signal Growing Market Interest

One of the strongest signs of an impending price move is a spike in trading activity—and PEPE is seeing exactly that.

According to CoinMarketCap, PEPE’s 24-hour trading volume reached $1.6 billion, surpassing not only other meme coins but even Dogecoin, the original meme token. This surge in spot market volume reflects growing retail and institutional interest, possibly driven by renewed hype around meme-based digital assets.

Even more telling is the jump in derivative market activity. Data from Coinglass shows that PEPE’s derivative trading volume spiked 37% in 24 hours to $3.94 billion, the highest since December 10. This sharp increase suggests traders are positioning aggressively ahead of a major price movement—either up or down.

Open interest (OI) has also climbed by 10% to $573 million, indicating new positions are being opened rather than existing ones liquidated. Rising OI alongside increasing price and volume typically supports continuation of the current trend—in this case, bullish.

Further reinforcing the bullish case is whale activity. The Hyperliquid whale tracker reveals that large investors have opened over $4.5 million in long positions within the last 24 hours. Such concentrated buying by whales often precedes strong upward moves, as it reflects confidence in near-term appreciation.

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Together, these factors—rising spot and futures volume, expanding open interest, and strategic whale accumulation—create a powerful tailwind for PEPE’s potential rally.

Key Levels to Watch: What Triggers the Next Move?

For traders monitoring PEPE closely, several critical price levels will determine the next directional move:

Market sentiment remains highly speculative, typical of meme coins. Unlike utility-driven cryptocurrencies, PEPE’s value hinges largely on community engagement, social media trends, and macro-level crypto market flows.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

What does the MACD crossover mean for PEPE?
A MACD crossover above the signal line and zero line indicates growing bullish momentum. It suggests that buying pressure is overcoming selling pressure, increasing the likelihood of a price increase.

Can Pepe Coin really rally 40%?
Yes—technically speaking, a confirmed breakout above the falling wedge resistance could trigger a 40% rally to $0.0000181. However, this depends on sustained volume and market-wide risk appetite.

Why are rising trading volumes important?
Higher spot and derivative volumes reflect increased market participation. When combined with rising open interest and whale activity, they suggest strong conviction behind the current price movement.

What would cause a 50% crash in PEPE?
A breakdown below $0.0000106—especially on high volume—could trigger cascading liquidations and panic selling. Loss of support combined with negative sentiment or broader market downturns increases crash risk.

How do whales influence PEPE’s price?
Large holders (whales) can significantly impact price through bulk buying or selling. The recent $4.5M in long positions suggests whales anticipate a rally, potentially drawing in other traders.

Is now a good time to buy PEPE?
That depends on risk tolerance and market timing. With strong technical signals pointing upward, early entry before breakout confirmation may offer upside potential—but only with proper risk management.

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With technicals aligning, volumes surging, and whales taking positions, Pepe Coin stands at a pivotal moment. Whether it breaks out toward a 40% gain or collapses under selling pressure depends on how it handles key support and resistance levels in the coming days. For active traders and crypto enthusiasts alike, PEPE’s next move could be one of the most watched events in the meme coin space this year.