The year 2025 has been a harsh reality check for holders of Fetch.ai (FET), the native token of the Artificial Superintelligence Alliance. Once trading just shy of $2 at the start of the year, FET has since plummeted by over 50%, struggling to regain momentum. As of April, the cryptocurrency hit a yearly low of $0.35 before rebounding slightly to $0.65. Despite this recovery, technical indicators and on-chain data suggest that a sustained rally—let alone a return to $1—is still out of reach.
This article dives deep into the current state of FET, analyzing its price action, technical indicators, and market sentiment to assess whether a breakout is on the horizon or if further consolidation lies ahead.
FET Remains Trapped in a Bearish Pattern
A closer look at the 4-hour price chart reveals that FET is still confined within a descending channel—a classic sign of sustained bearish pressure. The price continues to trade below the upper trendline, indicating that selling pressure outweighs buying interest. Even with recent upward movement, the altcoin has failed to close above key resistance levels.
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Bearish momentum is further confirmed by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has dipped below the neutral 50.00 threshold. An RSI below 50 typically signals weakening bullish strength and increasing dominance by sellers. If this reading persists, FET could face renewed downward pressure, potentially breaking below the $0.58 support level.
Another critical factor limiting upside potential is the strong overhead resistance near $0.70. Historical price data shows repeated rejection at this level, and the Bull Bear Power (BBP) indicator remains negative—suggesting bulls lack the conviction to push prices higher. Without a significant surge in demand, FET may remain locked in its current consolidation phase for weeks to come.
Key Technical Indicators at a Glance:
- Trend: Descending channel formation on 4-hour chart
- RSI: Below 50, signaling bearish momentum
- BBP: Negative value, indicating weak buying pressure
- Resistance: Strong barrier at $0.70
- Support: $0.58 holds for now, but fragile
On-Chain Data Shows Market Equilibrium
On-chain analytics offer additional insight into FET’s stagnation. The In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP) model from IntoTheBlock reveals a nearly equal distribution of tokens held in profit and loss between $0.58 and $0.74. This balance suggests a standoff between buyers and sellers:
- Traders who bought near $0.70 or higher are sitting on unrealized losses and may offload once they break even.
- Those who purchased during dips are in profit but may hesitate to chase higher prices without clear breakout signals.
This equilibrium creates a “sell wall” just above current prices and a “buy wall” near support, effectively trapping FET within a narrow trading range. With no dominant force emerging, the path of least resistance remains sideways movement rather than a decisive breakout.
Such conditions often precede volatility expansions—but only when external catalysts emerge, such as broader market rallies, protocol upgrades, or increased AI-sector interest.
Daily Chart: Mixed Signals Amid Consolidation
Zooming out to the daily timeframe provides a more nuanced picture. FET’s price is currently hovering around the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which acts as dynamic support. This positioning suggests some underlying demand exists, potentially cushioning against another sharp drop like the one seen in April.
However, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) remains in negative territory, reinforcing bearish momentum on the higher time frame. While not yet flashing a full-scale sell signal, the AO’s position warns that bullish energy is still insufficient for a sustained uptrend.
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For now, the most likely scenario is continued price action between $0.58 and $0.75. A decisive close above $0.75 could open the door to $0.90 and eventually challenge the psychological $1 mark. Conversely, renewed selling pressure could send prices back toward the April low of $0.35—especially if broader crypto markets turn sour.
Can FET Ever Reach $1 Again?
While $1 is not impossible in the long term, several hurdles stand in the way:
- Market Sentiment: Overall investor appetite for AI-themed cryptocurrencies has cooled compared to previous cycles.
- Competition: The AI blockchain space is becoming increasingly crowded, with projects like Render (RNDR), Bittensor (TAO), and Akash (AKT) gaining traction.
- Tokenomics and Utility: While Fetch.ai continues development in decentralized machine learning and agent-based economies, real-world adoption remains limited.
- Macro Conditions: High interest rates and risk-off investor behavior continue to weigh on speculative assets like altcoins.
A rally to $1 would require not just favorable market conditions but also strong fundamental catalysts—such as major partnerships, exchange listings, or technological breakthroughs within the Fetch.ai ecosystem.
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Why has FET lost so much value in 2025?
A: FET’s decline stems from weakening investor demand, strong overhead resistance at $0.70, and broader bearish sentiment across AI-related cryptocurrencies. Technical indicators also confirm sustained selling pressure.
Q: Is FET a good buy right now?
A: At current levels, FET is in a high-risk consolidation phase. While it may present a speculative opportunity for experienced traders, there’s no clear bullish confirmation yet. Investors should wait for a breakout above $0.75 with strong volume.
Q: What is the next major support level for FET?
A: The immediate support sits at $0.58. If broken, the next significant level is $0.35—the yearly low reached in April.
Q: Can FET reach $1 in 2025?
A: It’s unlikely under current conditions. Reaching $1 would require a major shift in market sentiment, strong volume expansion, and positive project developments.
Q: What does the IOMAP data tell us about FET?
A: IOMAP shows nearly equal volumes of tokens in profit and loss between $0.58 and $0.74, indicating balanced supply and demand—leading to prolonged consolidation.
Q: What technical indicators should I watch for FET?
A: Monitor the RSI (for momentum), EMA crossovers (for trend direction), BBP (for buying/selling pressure), and volume patterns during breakout attempts.
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Final Outlook: Patience Required
FET’s journey in 2025 reflects the challenges faced by many mid-cap altcoins in a maturing crypto market. Despite its innovative use case in AI and decentralized agents, price performance remains tied to technical structure and market psychology.
For now, patience is key. Traders should monitor for a confirmed breakout above $0.75—or a breakdown below $0.58—as both would signal the next directional move. Until then, FET remains locked in a holding pattern, with $1 still out of reach but not entirely out of sight in the long run.